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Agricultural and oil commodities: price transmission and market integration between US and Italy

Bio-based and Applied Economics

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Title Agricultural and oil commodities: price transmission and market integration between US and Italy
 
Creator Rosa, Franco; University of Udine, Department DIAL
Vasciaveo, Michela
Weaver, Robert D.
 
Subject agricultural commodity prices; time series analysis; cointegration; price transmission; market integration
C22; Q11; Q13
 
Description Purpose of this article it to get some evidences of market interaction between United States and Italy using the time series analysis of spot prices spanning from January 1999 to May 2012 for crude oil and three ag-commodities: wheat, corn and soybean. These crops have been selected for their relevance in ag-commodity exchanges between US and Italy markets. The integration between US and Italy agricultural markets is hypothesized for the consistent volume of crop traded between these two countries while the price transmission is related to the leading price signals of the CBT (Chicago Board of Trade). The integration between oil and ag-commodity markets is suggested both by the large use of energy intensive inputs, (fertilizer, seed, machinery) in production of these ag-commodities, and their use in biofuel production. The results suggest: a) for US market the evidence of market integration between crude oil and US ag-commodities; b) for Italy the integration with US ag-commodity markets and less evidence of integration with the oil market. These results are valuable information both for the agents and policy makers contributing to improve the information accuracy to predict the price movements used by marketing operators for their strategies and policy makers to set up policies to re-establish conditions of market efficiency and allocate these ag-commodities in alternative market channels.
 
Publisher Bio-based and Applied Economics
Bio-based and Applied Economics
 
Contributor University of Udine
 
Date 2014-06-16
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/view/12944
http://www.fupress.net/index.php/bae/article/download/12944/13809
10.13128/BAE-12944
 
Source Bio-based and Applied Economics; Vol 3, No 2 (2014); 93-117
Bio-based and Applied Economics; Vol 3, No 2 (2014); 93-117
2280-6172
2280-6180
 
Language eng
 
Relation 10.13128/BAE-12944