Better off without the euro? Evaluating monetary policy and macroeconomic performance for the u.k. and sweden
Revista de Ciencias Económicas
View Archive InfoField | Value | |
Title |
Better off without the euro? Evaluating monetary policy and macroeconomic performance for the u.k. and sweden
Mejor sin el euro? Evaluación del desempeño macroeconómico y la política monetaria en el Reino Unido y Suecia |
|
Creator |
Krause Montalbert, Stefan
|
|
Subject |
EURO AREA
MONETARY POLICY INFLATION AND OUTPUT VOLATILITY EUROZONA POLÍTICA MONETARIA VOLATILIDAD DE LA INFLACIÓN Y DEL PRODUCTO |
|
Description |
I compare macroeconomic performance, measured by the volatility of real GDP and inflation, for two of the countries that opted not to enter the EMU: the United Kingdom and Sweden. In particular, I am interested in finding out how much of the macroeconomic performance changes experienced by the U.K. and Sweden after 1999 is due to increased efficiency in the conduct of independent monetary policy. Eventually, the objective is to analyze whether or not further changes in macroeconomic volatility could have been attained if these two countries would have instead adopted the Euro starting January 1999.
En este artículo comparo los resultados macroeconómicos, medidos por la volatilidad del PIB real y la inflación, para dos de los países que optaron por no entrar en la UEM: el Reino Unido y Suecia. En particular, estoy interesado en saber cuánto de los cambios en el desempeño macroeconómicos experimentados por el Reino Unido y Suecia después de 1999 se debe al aumento de la eficiencia en la conducción de la política monetaria independiente. El objetivo es analizar los cambios en la volatilidad macroeconómica que se podrían haber alcanzado si estos dos países hubieran adoptado el Euro a partir de enero de 1999. |
|
Publisher |
Universidad de Costa Rica
|
|
Date |
2016-12-08
|
|
Type |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion |
|
Format |
application/pdf
|
|
Identifier |
http://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/economicas/article/view/27330
10.15517/rce.v34i2.27330 |
|
Source |
Revista de Ciencias Económicas; Ciencias Económicas: Volumen 34, Número 2; 133-151
Revista de Ciencias Económicas; Ciencias Económicas: Volumen 34, Número 2; 133-151 2215-3489 0252-9521 |
|
Language |
eng
|
|
Relation |
http://revistas.ucr.ac.cr/index.php/economicas/article/view/27330/28124
/*ref*/Ahmed, S., Levin, A., & Wilson, B. A. (2002). Recent U.S. Macroeconomic Stability: Good Luck, Good Policies, or Good Practices? (International Financial Discussion Papers No. 730). Washington, DC.: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. /*ref*/Alesina, A., & Barro, R. J. (2002). Currency Unions. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(2), 409–436. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355302753650283 /*ref*/Bernanke, B. S., Laubach, T., Mishkin, F. S., & Posen, A. S. (1999). Inflation Targeting: Lessons from the International Experience. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press. /*ref*/Cecchetti, S. G., Flores-Lagunes, A., & Krause, S. (2006). Has Monetary Policy become more Efficient? a Cross-Country Analysis*. The Economic Journal, 116(511), 408–433. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2006.01086.x /*ref*/Chow, G. C. (1975). Analysis and control of dynamic economic systems. New York: John Wiley and Sons. /*ref*/Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (1999). The Science of Monetary Policy: A New Keynesian Perspective. Journal of Economic Literature, 37(4), 1661–1707. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.37.4.1661 /*ref*/Clarida, R., Galí, J., & Gertler, M. (2000). Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1), 147–180. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355300554692 /*ref*/Cover, J. P., & Pecorino, P. (2005). Price and Output Stability under Price-Level Targeting. Southern 150 Stefan Krause Montalbert Economic Journal, 72(1), 152–166. /*ref*/Dynan, K. E., Elmendorf, D. W., & Sichel, D. E. (2006). Can financial innovation help to explain the reduced volatility of economic activity? Journal of Monetary Economics, 53(1), 123–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.10.012 /*ref*/Fuhrer, J. C. (1997). Inflation/Output Variance Trade-Offs and Optimal Monetary Policy. Journal of /*ref*/Money, Credit and Banking, 29(2), 214–234. https://doi.org/10.2307/2953676 /*ref*/Herrera, A. M., & Pesavento, E. (2005). The Decline in U.S. Output Volatility. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 23(4), 462–472. https://doi.org/10.1198/073500104000000596 /*ref*/Krause, S., & Méndez, F. (2008). Institutions, arrangements and preferences for inflation stability: Evidence and lessons from a panel data analysis. Journal of Macroeconomics, 30(1), 282–307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmacro.2006.11.001 /*ref*/Li, G. S. H., & Maddala. (1996). Bootstrapping time series models. Econometric Reviews, 15(2), 115– 158. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474939608800344 /*ref*/McConnell, M. M., & Perez-Quiros, G. (2000). Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980’s? American Economic Review, 90(5), 1464–1476. https://doi. org/10.1257/aer.90.5.1464 /*ref*/McMillin, W., & Fackler, J. S. (2006). Estimating the Inflation-Output Variability Frontier with Inflation Targeting: A VAR Approach (Departmental Working Paper No. 2006–17). Department of Economics, Louisiana State University. /*ref*/Mishkin, F., & Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2002). A Decade of Inflation Targeting in the World: What Do We Know and What Do We Need to Know? In N. Loayza & R. Soto (Eds.), Inflation Targeting: Design, Performance, Challenges (pp. 171–219). Central Bank of Chile. /*ref*/Pesaran, M. H., Smith, L. V., & Smith, R. P. (2005). What if the UK had Joined the Euro in 1999? An Empirical Evaluation using a Global VAR (IEPR Working Paper No. 05.24). Institute of Economic Policy Research (IEPR). /*ref*/Phillips, P. C. B., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346. https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/75.2.335 /*ref*/Rose, A. K., & Engel, C. (2002). Currency Unions and International Integration. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 34(4), 1067–1089. /*ref*/Rudebusch, G. D., & Svensson, L. E. O. (1999). Policy Rules for Inflation Targeting. In J. B. Taylor (Ed.), Monetary Policy Rules (pp. 203–246). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. /*ref*/Rudebusch, G. D., & Svensson, L. E. O. (2000). Eurosystem Monetary Targeting: Lessons from US Data (CEPR Discussion Paper No. 2522). Centre for Economic Policy Research. /*ref*/Söderström, U. (2008). Re-Evaluating Swedish Membership in EMU: Evidence from an Estimated Model (CEPR Discussion Paper No. 7062). CEPR. Discussion Papers. Retrieved from http:// www.cepr.org/active/publications/discussion_papers/dp.php?dpno=7062 /*ref*/Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Has the Business Cycle Changed and Why? NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 17, 159–218. https://doi.org/10.1086/ma.17.3585284 /*ref*/Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2003). Has the Business Cycle Changed? Evidence and Explanations (Prepared for the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City symposium, “Monetary Policy and Uncertainty”). Jackson Hole, Wyoming, August 28-30, 2003. /*ref*/Svensson, L. E. O. (1997). Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets. European Economic Review, 41(6), 1111–1146. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0014- 2921(96)00055-4 /*ref*/Taylor, J. B. (1979). Estimation and Control of a Macroeconomic Model with Rational Expectations. Econometrica, 47(5), 1267–1286. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911962 /*ref*/Walsh, C. E. (1995). Recent Central-Bank Reforms and the Role of Price Stability as the Sole Objective of Monetary Policy. NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 10, 237–252. https://doi. org/10.1086/654278 |
|
Rights |
Copyright (c) 2016 Revista de Ciencias Económicas
|
|