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Business cycles in the US and five ASEAN countries: are they related?

Philippine Review of Economics

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Title Business cycles in the US and five ASEAN countries: are they related?
 
Creator Ong, Hway-Boon; Faculty of Management, Multimedia University, Selangor, West Malaysia
Puah, Chin-Hong; Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Malaysia Sarawak, East Malaysia
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah; Department of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Selangor, West Malaysia
 
Subject Granger non-causality; augmented-VAR; MWald test; business cycles
 
Description Given the inter-country linkages arising from technological advances in communication and transportation, this paper examines the interdependent relationships between the output of the world’s largest economy, the US, and those of five other ASEAN countries, namely, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore and Thailand. Based on results of the augmented VAR of the Granger non-causality test, the paper finds a weak interdependence between the US and the five ASEAN countries, but a strong interdependence among the ASEAN countries. The empirical findings also revealed bidirectional causality among ASEAN countries especially Malaysia and Singapore. As such, every ASEAN country has to consider the economic developments and policies of other ASEAN countries as their decisions could affect one another. JEL classification: E32, O57
 
Publisher Philippine Review of Economics
 
Contributor —
 
Date 2004-06-30
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/pre/index.php/pre/article/view/167
 
Source Philippine Review of Economics; Vol 41, No 1 (2004)
1655-1516
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/pre/index.php/pre/article/view/167/586
 
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