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Early Warning Signs of the Economic Crisis in Greece: A Warning for Other Countries and Regions

Journal of Economics and Political Economy

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Title Early Warning Signs of the Economic Crisis in Greece: A Warning for Other Countries and Regions
 
Creator NIELSEN, Ron W.; Environmental Futures Research Institute, Gold Coast Campus, Griffith University, Qld,
 
Subject

 
Description Abstract. Warning signs about the developing economic crisis in Greece were present in the growth rate of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and in the growth of the GDP well before the economic collapse. The growth rate was strongly unstable. On average, in less than 50 years, it decreased 10-folds but after reaching a low minimum it quickly increased 6-folds only to crash before completing the full cycle. The decreasing growth rate was leading to an asymptotic maximum of the GDP but it was soon replaced by a fast-increasing growth rate propelling the GDP along a pseudo-hyperbolic trajectory, which if continued would have escaped to infinity in 2017. Such a growth could not have been possibly supported. Under these conditions, the economic collapse in Greece was inevitable.Keywords. Economic growth, Gross Domestic Product, Greece, Economic crisis, Future economic growth, Early warning signs.JEL. C00, C20, C40, C50, C53, C60, C80.
 
Publisher Journal of Economics and Political Economy
Journal of Economics and Political Economy
 
Contributor
 
Date 2015-12-18
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/view/562
10.1453/jepe.v2i4.562
 
Source Journal of Economics and Political Economy; Vol 2, No 4 (2015): December; 460-466
Journal of Economics and Political Economy; Vol 2, No 4 (2015): December; 460-466
2148-8347
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/view/562/585
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2015 Journal of Economics and Political Economy
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0