Record Details

Bed capacity and surgical waiting lists: a simulation analysis

European Journal of Government and Economics

View Archive Info
 
 
Field Value
 
Title Bed capacity and surgical waiting lists: a simulation analysis
 
Creator Antelo, Manel
Santias, Francisco Reyes
Calvo, Adela Martinez
 
Subject Hospital beds; inpatient activity; length of stay; Monte Carlo simulation; surgery waiting lists
I10; I12
 
Description Waiting time for elective surgery is a key problem in the current medical world. This paper aims to reproduce, by a Monte Carlo simulation model, the relationship between hospital capacity, inpatient activity, and surgery waiting list size in teaching hospitals. Inpatient activity is simulated by fitting a Normal distribution to real inpatient activity data, and the effect of the number of beds on inpatient activity is modelled with a linear regression model. Analysis is performed with data of the University Multi-Hospital Complex of Santiago de Compostela (Santiago de Compostela, Spain), by considering two scenarios regarding the elastiticity of demand with bed increase. If demand does not grow with an increase on bed capacity, small changes lead to drastic reductions in the waiting lists. However, if demand grows as bed capacity does, adding additional capacity merely makes waiting lists worse.
 
Publisher Europa Grande
 
Contributor Galician Regional Government (Xunta de Galicia)
Spanish Ministry of Science and Innovation
 
Date 2015-12-30
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.ejge.org/index.php/ejge/article/view/72
 
Source European Journal of Government and Economics; Vol 4, No 2 (2015); 118-133
2254-7088
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.ejge.org/index.php/ejge/article/view/72/60
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2015 Manel Antelo, Francisco Reyes Santias, Adela Martinez Calvo
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0