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Evaluation of Landscape Impacts and Land Use Change: a Tuscan Case Study for CAP Reform Scenarios

Aestimum

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Title Evaluation of Landscape Impacts and Land Use Change: a Tuscan Case Study for CAP Reform Scenarios
 
Creator Bernetti, Iacopo; Dipartimento di Economia, Ingegneria, Scienze e Tecnologie Agrarie e Forestali Università degli Studi di Firenze
Marinelli, Nicola; Dipartimento di Economia, Ingegneria, Scienze e Tecnologie Agrarie e Forestali Università degli Studi di Firenze
 
Description The study uses information from different sources and on different scales in an integrated set of models in order to analyze possible land use change scenarios arising in response to CAP reform. Five main steps were followed: (1) analysis of past land use changes, (2) multivariate analysis of future land use changes using a neural network time series forecast model (Multi-Layer Perceptron Method), (3) modelization of land use change demand (Markovian Chains Method), (4) allocation of the demand to define transition localization, (5) definition of policy scenarios. The final stage is the comparison of CAP scenarios using a multicriteria decision making approach, in order to supply valuable information to policy makers regarding the possible local effects of key direction changes in CAP.
 
Publisher Aestimum
Aestimum
 
Contributor
 
Date 2010-07-07
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.fupress.net/index.php/ceset/article/view/8569
http://www.fupress.net/index.php/ceset/article/download/8569/8023
10.13128/Aestimum-8569
 
Source Aestimum; Aestimum 56 (2010); 1-29
Aestimum; Aestimum 56 (2010); 1-29
1724-2118
1592-6117
 
Language ita
 
Relation 10.13128/Aestimum-8569