Identification of Risk Factors in Globally Outsourced Software Projects using Logistic Regression and ANN
International Journal of Supply Chain Management
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Title |
Identification of Risk Factors in Globally Outsourced Software Projects using Logistic Regression and ANN
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Creator |
Mohanty, R. P.; SOA University
Sahoo, G.; Birla Institute of Technology Dasgupta, Jyotirmoy; Bibidha Consultancy Service |
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Description |
Abstract— Global supply chains are often critically dependent upon globally outsourced Information Technology (IT) and Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) projects. Effective risk assessment and mitigation of these projects is therefore of great importance for such supply chains. Traditional risk management techniques used so far in IT and BPO projects have depended almost entirely on the ‘Expected Utility Theory’ that computes risk exposure as the product of risk probability and risk impact. Although this method is considered the gold standard in risk assessment, it has severe limitations due to the fact that accurate computation of risk probability and impact is difficult. In this and earlier papers, we have advocated the use of ‘risk factors’ in conjunction with other existing methods for risk assessment. Risk factors are conditions that affect project performance. In this paper, we use Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) based methods on a set of globally outsourced projects to predict project performance and to rank the relative importance of project risk factors. Although in this paper these techniques have been tested in outsourced IT projects, these can also be used in identifying and determining project risk factors in other industries. Keywords— Outsourced projects, Risk Management, Risk Factors, Logistic Regression, Artificial Neural Networks
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Publisher |
International Journal of Supply Chain Management
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Contributor |
—
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Date |
2012-07-19
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Type |
Peer-reviewed Article
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Format |
application/pdf
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Identifier |
http://ojs.excelingtech.co.uk/index.php/IJSCM/article/view/512
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Source |
International Journal of Supply Chain Management; Vol 1, No 1 (2012): International Journal of Supply Chain Management (IJSCM)
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Language |
en
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Rights |
The copyright of the contribution is transferred to IJSCM in case of acceptance. The copyright transfer covers the exclusive right to reproduce and distribute the contribution, including reprints, translations, photographic reproductions, microform, electronic form, or any other reproductions of similar nature.The Author may publish his/her contribution on his/her personal Web page provided that he/she creates a link to the mentioned volume of IJSCM.The Author may not publish his/her contribution anywhere else without the prior written permission of the publisher unless it has been changed substantially. The Author warrants that his/her contribution is original, except for such excerpts from copyrighted works as may be included with the permission of the copyright holder and author thereof, that it contains no libellous statements, and does not infringe on any copyright, trademark, patent, statutory right, or propriety right of others.The Author also agrees for and accepts responsibility for releasing this material on behalf of any and all co-authors.
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