Momentum and reversals: An alternative explanation by non-conserved quantities
The International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance and Economic Sciences
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Title |
Momentum and reversals: An alternative explanation by non-conserved quantities
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Creator |
Appel, Dominik
Dziergwa, Katrin Grabinski, Michael |
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Description |
The momentum effect in stock trading means that stocks performing well in the past will do so in the future, too. A recent (seemingly) proof of it would be a big discovery: Stock prices would obey laws similar to the Newtonian equation of motion. However, using the recent result that stock prices are distinct from stock values, the whole mystery disappears without a trace. Stock prices fluctuate chaotically (in a mathematical sense). Therefore the momentum within stock prices is easily explained by a self-fulfilling prophecy as long as enough people believe in it. In the recent experimental "proof" of the momentum effect, stocks had been traded thousands of times. In generalizing the well-known average cost effect, we give a second quantitative explanation for the observed results.
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Publisher |
International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance and Economic Sciences
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Contributor |
—
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Date |
2012-03-30
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Type |
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Format |
application/pdf
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Identifier |
http://ojs.excelingtech.co.uk/index.php/IJLTFES/article/view/428
10.2047/ijltfes.v2i1.428 |
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Source |
International Journal of Latest Trends in Finance and Economic Sciences; Vol 2, No 1 (2012): March
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Language |
en
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Rights |
The copyright of the contribution is transferred to IJLTFES in case of acceptance. The copyright transfer covers the exclusive right to reproduce and distribute the contribution, including reprints, translations, photographic reproductions, microform, electronic form, or any other reproductions of similar nature. The Author may publish his/her contribution on his/her personal Web page provided that he/she creates a link to the mentioned volume of IJLTFES. The Author may not publish his/her contribution anywhere else without the prior written permission of the publisher unless it has been changed substantially. The Author warrants that his/her contribution is original, except for such excerpts from copyrighted works as may be included with the permission of the copyright holder and author thereof, that it contains no libellous statements, and does not infringe on any copyright, trademark, patent, statutory right, or propriety right of others. The Author also agrees for and accepts responsibility for releasing this material on behalf of any and all co-authors.
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