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(DP 1984-04) Growth in Spasmodia: Foreign Borrowing and Crisis

UPSE Discussion Papers

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Title (DP 1984-04) Growth in Spasmodia: Foreign Borrowing and Crisis
 
Creator Fabella, Raul V.
 
Description We construct a dynamic decision model where foreign borrowing figures as one of the instruments to maximize welfare over a planning horizon. We hypothesize a relation, a rather reasonable one, between the repayment schedule and the debt ceiling. For every period, there exists an optimal per capita debt, which together with the optimal consumption path leads in a sustainable fashion to maximal long-run welfare. In the short run, however, one can actually to better by borrowing exceeding the optimal debt but this path leads for a balance of payments crisis as the debt catches up with the ceiling. The economy goes into a spasm as it resorts to drastic measures. A regime with short memory may mount yet another assault on the debt ceiling and suffer the same fate. Myopia leads to a dismal long-run growth record.
 
Publisher UPSE Discussion Papers
 
Contributor
 
Date 2010-08-31
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/299
 
Source UPSE Discussion Papers; 1984
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.econ.upd.edu.ph/dp/index.php/dp/article/view/299/362