Since 2014
Hubungan antara Hasil dengan Perbelanjaan Kerajaan Negeri di Malaysia
Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia
View Archive Info| Field | Value | |
| Title |
Hubungan antara Hasil dengan Perbelanjaan Kerajaan Negeri di Malaysia
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| Creator |
Abdul Karim, Zulkefly
Mokhtar, Aminudin Mod Asri, Nor Ain |
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| Subject |
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| Description |
ABSTRAKObjektif utama kajian ini adalah untuk mengkaji hubungan antara pembolehubah fiskal iaitu perbelanjaan dan hasil dengan menggunakan data di peringkat kerajaan negeri. Kaedah ekonometrik siri masa diaplikasikan dalam kajian ini yang terdiri daripada ujian kointegrasi Johansen dun ujian sebab-menyebab Granger untuk menentukan arahhubungan kedua-dua pembolehubah fiskal tersebut. Di samping itu, kaedah panel data juga diaplikasikan dalam kajian ini. Dapatan kajian rnenunjukkan keputusan yang tidak selaras, yang mana sebilangan besar negeri rnenepati hipotesis hasil-belanja (misalnya negeri Kedah, Melaka,Pahang, Perak, Sabah, Sarawak dun Terengganu), mnakala hipotesis belanja-hasil hanya wujud di negeri Perlis sahaja, dan tiada hubungan antara hasil dengan belanja di negeri Johor, Kelantan dan Pulau Pinangyang menunjukkan bahawa kedua-dua pembolehubah fiskal adalah bersifat nuetral. Hipotesis hubungan sebab-rnenyebab dua hala hanya berlaku bagi kes negeri Selangor dan Negeri Sernbilan sahaja. Di sampingitu, hasil ujian panel data dengan rnenggunakan kesan tetap juga mendapati pembolehubah hasil rnempunyai pengaruh yang penting terhadap perbelanjaan kerajaan negeri. Ini menunjukkan bahawa proses belanjawan kerajaan negeri didominasi di sebelah hasil atau denganperkataan lain menyokong hipotesis hasil-belanja.ABSTRACTThe main objective of this study is to examine the causal relationship between revenue and spending by using the state government data in Malaysia. In this study, we will utilize the time series econometric technique such as Johansen cointegration analysis and vector error correction model (VECM). In addition, the panel data methodology also will be use to test the validity of the budget hypothesis. According to prior studies, there are several hypotheses to explain the relationship betweenrevenue and spending such as (1) spend-revenue hypothesis, (2) revenue spend hypothesis and (3) bi-directional causality hypothesis which support the fiscal synchronization hypothesis. Based on empirical evidence, we can concluded that the result on the direction of causation are mixed: (a) for Kedah, Melaka, Pahang, Perak, Sabah, Sarawak and Terengganuwefind support the tax-and-spend hypothesis (spend-revenue hypothesis); (b) Selangor and Negeri Sembilan are in conformity with the existence of bi-directional causality or support (the fiscal synchronization hypothesis);(c) for Perlis we and the existence of spend-revenue hypothesis; and (d) for other states such as Johor, Kelantan and Pulau Pinang there is evidence of neutrality which states that no causal relationship betweenbothfiscal variables. In addition, the result for panel data technique show that the important role of revenue to influence the state government spending. These findings also support the revenue-spend hypothesis.
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| Publisher |
Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
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| Contributor |
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| Date |
2012-12-05
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| Type |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article — |
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| Format |
application/pdf
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| Identifier |
http://ejournal.ukm.my/jem/article/view/1631
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| Source |
Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia; Vol 40 (2006): Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia
0126-1962 |
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| Language |
eng
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| Relation |
http://ejournal.ukm.my/jem/article/view/1631/1400
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