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An eigenvector spatial filtering contribution to short range regional population forecasting

Economics and Business Letters

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Field Value
 
Title An eigenvector spatial filtering contribution to short range regional population forecasting
 
Creator Griffith, Daniel A.
Chun, Yongwan
 
Description Statistical space-time forecasting requires sufficiently large time series data to ensure high quality predictions. The dominance of temporal dependence in empirical space-time data emphasizes the importance of a lengthy time sequence. However, regional space-time data often have a relative small temporal sample size, increasing chances that regional forecasts might result in unreliable predictions. This paper proposes a method to improve regional forecasts by incorporating spatial autocorrelation in a generalized linear mixed model framework coupled with eigenvector spatial filtering. This methodology is illustrated with an application of regional population forecasts for South Korea.
 
Publisher Oviedo University Press
 
Contributor
 
Date 2014-12-30
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.unioviedo.es/reunido/index.php/EBL/article/view/10418
10.17811/ebl.3.4.2014.208-217
 
Source Economics and Business Letters; Vol 3, No 4 (2014): December - Special Issue Advances in Regional Forecasting; 208-217
Economics and Business Letters; Vol 3, No 4 (2014): December - Special Issue Advances in Regional Forecasting; 208-217
2254-4380
10.17811/ebl.3.4.2014
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.unioviedo.es/reunido/index.php/EBL/article/view/10418/10124
http://www.unioviedo.es/reunido/index.php/EBL/article/downloadSuppFile/10418/364
 
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