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TRANSMISI DAMPAK MELALUI JARINGAN PERDAGANGAN: PENDEKATAN ASIAN-IO

Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking

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Title TRANSMISI DAMPAK MELALUI JARINGAN PERDAGANGAN: PENDEKATAN ASIAN-IO
 
Creator Ibrahim, Ibrahim
Winarno, Tri
Grace, Melva Viva
Fitri, Yan
 
Description Global financial crisis which began in the US in the latter part of 2008 hit a lot of countries in both trade and finance. In trade aspect, the crisis spread widely; in Indonesia, the total export value in 2009 dropped to 14,3%. Therefore, the economy of China, tightly linked with Asian countries including Indonesia, which rapidly rose before the crisis but slowed after it should be monitored as this condition, could indirectly hold down Indonesia’s GDP. Applying RAS method to update Asian IO data, this research has attempted to describe the trade structure of Asian countries in 2010. Also, it implemented a simulation of the impact of US and China’s GDP decline and US exports on Indonesia’s GDP, both at aggregate and sector levels. The result of the mapping shows that Indonesia is getting more dependent on China. Generally, the link between Indonesia’s exported products and global production chain is weak. Indonesia’s export commodities which are mostly of intermediate goods have low contribution towards value added. Moreover, the result of the simulation shows that 1% decrease in China’s GDP has greater impact on Indonesia’s GDP (0,14%) than that of the US (0,05%) and EU (0,07%) though with similar point.  Keyword: Trade Interactions, Input Output Model JEL Classification : F16, R15
 
Publisher Bank Indonesia
 
Date 2014-10-27
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://www.bmeb-bi.org/index.php/BEMP/article/view/23
10.21098/bemp.v16i4.23
 
Source Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan; Vol 16 No 4 (2014): APRIL; 339-372
Buletin Ekonomi Moneter dan Perbankan; Vol 16 No 4 (2014): APRIL; 339-372
2460-9196
1410-8046
 
Language ind
 
Relation https://www.bmeb-bi.org/index.php/BEMP/article/view/23/17
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2015 Ibrahim Ibrahim, Tri Winarno, Melva Viva Grace, Yan Fitri