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Macroeconomic impacts of refugee inflows in OECD countries: A panel data analysis

Journal of Economics Library

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Title Macroeconomic impacts of refugee inflows in OECD countries: A panel data analysis
 
Creator TUFANER, Mustafa Batuhan; Beykent University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Department of Economics, İstanbul, Turkey. . +90 212 444 1997 . batuhantufaner@beykent.edu.tr
SÖZEN, İlyas; Department of Foreign Trade, İzmir Kavram Vocational CollegePhone: 444 9134
 
Subject Refugee inflows; Economic development; Macroeconomics; Panel data analysis.
F22; O10; E20; C33.
 
Description Abctract. The increase in refugee inflows due to war and violence in the world has revealed the necessity of dealing refugee inflows internationally. The aim of the study is to investigate the impact of refugee inflows on host economies. In this study, 36 OECD countries were analyzed with panel data method for the period 1993-2017. In the model, the number of refugees is independent; economic growth, inflation and government expenditures are dependent variables. In the first stage of the analysis, panel unit root tests were applied to test the stationary of the variables. Then, Gengenbach, Urbain and Westerlund panel cointegration tests were performed to test the cointegration relationship between the variables. To estimate the long-term relationships between variables, the Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares Mean Group (DOLSMG) estimator was used and a negative relationship was found between refugee inflows and economic growth, while a positive correlation was found between refugee inflows and inflation, also between refugee inflows and government expenditures. Finally, the Dumitrescu-Hurlin panel Granger causality test was used to estimate the causality relationship between the variables. According to the causality test results, while there was no causality relationship between refugee inflows and economic growth, a mutual causality relationship was found between refugee inflows and government expenditures. However, it has been observed that unidirectional Granger causality running from refugee inflows to inflation.Keywords. Refugee inflows, Economic development, Macroeconomics, Panel data analysis.JEL. F22, O10, E20, C33.
 
Publisher Journal of Economics Library
 
Contributor
 
Date 2019-10-17
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEL/article/view/1935
10.1453/jel.v6i3.1935
 
Source Journal of Economics Library; Vol 6, No 3 (2019): September; 186-200
2149-2379
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEL/article/view/1935/1952
http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEL/article/downloadSuppFile/1935/1014
 
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