Searching for the credibility of monetary policy in Turkey: Evidence from structural VAR analysis
Journal of Economics and Political Economy
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Title |
Searching for the credibility of monetary policy in Turkey: Evidence from structural VAR analysis
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Creator |
ALKAN, Buket
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Subject |
Inflation expectations; Structural VAR; Credibility; Anchoring; The Turkish economy; Uncertainty.
E52; E58. |
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Description |
Abstract. A relationship between the macro shocks and the long-term inflation expectations leads to questioning the credibility of a central bank. This paper investigates the credibility of the Central Bank of Turkey by analyzing the anchoring effect of the long-term inflation expectations by using the uncertainty indicator. We conduct the analysis with the structural VAR method using survey-based inflation expectations data as well as economic uncertainty index data developed for the Turkish economy. Our results provided evidence in favor of the existing de-anchoring process and imply that the monetary policy is not fully credible in Turkey during the period under investigation.Keywords. Inflation expectations, Structural VAR, Credibility, Anchoring, The Turkish economy, Uncertainty.JEL. E52, E58.
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Publisher |
Journal of Economics and Political Economy
Journal of Economics and Political Economy |
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Contributor |
—
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Date |
2019-03-11
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Type |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion — — |
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Format |
application/pdf
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Identifier |
http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/view/1851
10.1453/jepe.v6i1.1851 |
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Source |
Journal of Economics and Political Economy; Vol 6, No 1 (2019): March; 78-93
Journal of Economics and Political Economy; Vol 6, No 1 (2019): March; 78-93 2148-8347 |
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Language |
eng
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Relation |
http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/view/1851/1856
http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/downloadSuppFile/1851/941 http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/downloadSuppFile/1851/942 http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/downloadSuppFile/1851/943 http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/downloadSuppFile/1851/944 http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEPE/article/downloadSuppFile/1851/945 |
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Rights |
Copyright (c) 2019 Journal of Economics and Political Economy
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0 |
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