Record Details

Forecasting Migration Flows for New Zealand: Arrivals of New and Returning New Zealanders & Departing by Destinations

Labour, Employment and Work in New Zealand

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Field Value
 
Title Forecasting Migration Flows for New Zealand: Arrivals of New and Returning New Zealanders & Departing by Destinations
 
Creator Zhao, Xintao
SriRamaratnam, Ram
van Seventer, Dirk
 
Description The purpose of this paper was to outline the methods and to report results of an econometric attempt to forecast New Zealand migration flows. Flows were decomposed into eight components: two relating to arrivals and six components relating to departures by several destinations. Linear time series regression and the Holt­Winters exponential smoothing method were applied to quarterly data from June 1978 to June 2008 or from March 1990 to June 2008. Within­sample mean absolute percentage errors were presented and full­sample estimates from June 1978 to September 2010 or from March 1990 to September 2010 were used to forecast migration flows for each component for the next two years.
 
Publisher Victoria University of Wellington
 
Date 2010-11-06
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://ojs.victoria.ac.nz/LEW/article/view/1688
10.26686/lew.v0i0.1688
 
Source Labour, Employment and Work in New Zealand; 2010: Labour, Employment and Work in New Zealand
2463-2600
 
Language eng
 
Relation https://ojs.victoria.ac.nz/LEW/article/view/1688/1531