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Peramalan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara (Wisman) Ke Bali Tahun 2019: Metode ARIMA

Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan

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Title Peramalan Jumlah Kunjungan Wisatawan Mancanegara (Wisman) Ke Bali Tahun 2019: Metode ARIMA
 
Creator Rukini, Rukini
Simpen Arini, Putu
Nawangsih, Esthisatari
 
Subject Target tourists; ARIMA; forecasting
 
Description IndonesiaTourism has been growing significantly over the past few years. In 2013, income from tourism reached 10,054 millions dollars, occupied the third place of indonesia export commodities. The ministry of tourism and creatice economy has targeted 20 millions arrivals and 240 trillion rupiahs from international tourist arrivals in 2019. As Bali has been contributing for more than 40 percent of international tourist arrivals in Indonenesia, it is expected to have around 8 millions international arrivals in 2019. Using ARIMA method, it is predicted that the number of international tourist arrivals in Bali will be 5,07 millions in 2019, far below the target. This result suggests that government should give more effort to develop tourism in the upcoming years to fulfil the target.
 
Publisher Universitas Udayana
 
Date 2015-11-04
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/jekt/article/view/16509
10.24843/JEKT.2015.v08.i02.p04
 
Source Jurnal Ekonomi Kuantitatif Terapan; 2015: Vol. 8, No. 2, Agustus 2015 (pp. 113-216)
2303-0186
2301-8968
 
Language eng
 
Relation https://ojs.unud.ac.id/index.php/jekt/article/view/16509/10805