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EFFECT OF INVESTOR SENTIMENT ON FUTURE RETURNS IN THE NIGERIAN STOCK MARKET

Annals of Spiru Haret University. Economic Series

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Title EFFECT OF INVESTOR SENTIMENT ON FUTURE RETURNS IN THE NIGERIAN STOCK MARKET
 
Creator Alajekwu, Udoka Bernard
OBIALOR, Michael Chukwumee
OKORO, Cyprian Okey
 
Subject Investor sentiment, Nigerian stock market, stock returns, consumer confidence index, noise trading.
G, M.
 
Description The study examined the effect of investor sentiment on future returns in the Nigerian stock market. The OLS regression and granger causality techniques were employed for data analyses. The results showed that (1) investor sentiment has a significant positive effect on stock market returns even after control for fundamentals such as Industrial production index, consumer price index and Treasury bill rate; (2) there is a uni-directional causality that runs from change in investor sentiment (ΔCCI) to stock market returns (Rm). Derived finding showed that the inclusion of fundamentals increased the explanatory power of investor sentiment from 3.96% to 33.05%, though at both level, investor sentiment (ΔCCI) has low explanatory power on stock market returns. The study posits existence of a dynamic relationship between investor sentiment and the behaviour of stock future returns in Nigeria such that higher sentiment concurrently leads to higher stock prices.  
 
Publisher Editura Fundatiei Romania de Maine
 
Contributor
 
Date 2017-06-30
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://anale.spiruharet.ro/index.php/economics/article/view/1726
10.26458/1726
 
Source Annals of Spiru Haret University. Economic Series; Vol 17, No 2 (2017); 75-102
2393-1795
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://anale.spiruharet.ro/index.php/economics/article/view/1726/pdf
 
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Rights Copyright (c) 2017 Udoka Bernard Alajekwu, Michael Chukwumee OBIALOR, Cyprian Okey OKORO
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0