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Comparative Research on Influencing Factors of LSTM Deep Neural Network in Stock Market Time Series Prediction

Research in Economics and Management

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Title Comparative Research on Influencing Factors of LSTM Deep Neural Network in Stock Market Time Series Prediction
 
Creator Yin, TANG
yu, YANG Jin
Jian, CHEN
 
Description During training process of LSTM, the prediction accuracy is affected by a variation of factors, including the selection of training samples, the network structure, the optimization algorithm, and the stock market status. This paper tries to conduct a systematic research on several influencing factors of LSTM training in context of time series prediction. The experiment uses Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 constituent stocks from 2006 to 2017 as samples. The influencing factors of the study include indicator sampling, sample length, network structure, optimization method, and data of the bull and bear market, and this experiment compared the effects of PCA, dropout, and L2 regularization on predict accuracy and efficiency. Indice sampling, number of samples, network structure, optimization techniques, and PCA are found to be have their scope of application. Further, dropout and L2 regularization are found positive to improve the accuracy. The experiments cover most of the factors, however have to be compared by data overseas. This paper is of significance for feature and parameter selection in LSTM training process.
 
Publisher SCHOLINK INC.
 
Contributor
 
Date 2019-01-24
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/rem/article/view/1790
10.22158/rem.v4n1p84
 
Source Research in Economics and Management; Vol 4, No 1 (2019); p84
2470-4393
2470-4407
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/rem/article/view/1790/1930
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2019 TANG Yin, YANG Jin yu, CHEN Jian
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0