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Measurement and assessment of the evolution of technology with a simple biological model

Turkish Economic Review

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Title Measurement and assessment of the evolution of technology with a simple biological model
 
Creator COCCIA, Mario;

CNR -- National Research Council of Italy &Arizona State University 

 

CNR -- National Research Council of Italy

Via Real Collegio, 30-10024, Moncalieri (TO), Italy

 

Arizona State University | Center for Social Dynamics and Complexity

550 East Orange St., Tempe, AZ | 85287-4804
 
Subject Measurement of technology; Technometrics; Technological evolution; Technological change, Technological forecasting; Technology assessment, Technological progress; Innovation; Technology studies, Public decision making.
O30; O31; O32; O33; O38.
 
Description Abstract. A simple model of the development of technology is presented. This model, in a broad analogy with evolutionary ecology of parasites, within a theoretical framework of Generalized Darwinism, can explain vital characteristics of technological advances and technological evolution. In particular, the evolution of technology is modelled here in terms of morphological changes between a host technology and a main subsystem of technology. The coefficient of evolutionary growth of this simple model here indicates the grade and type of the evolution of technology. This coefficient is quantified in real cases study using historical data of farm tractor, freight locomotive and electricity generation technology in steam-powered plants and internal-combustion plants. The approach of measurement and assessment of technological evolution proposed here seems to be appropriate in grasping the dynamics of technological evolution to predict which technologies are likeliest to evolve rapidly.Keywords. Measurement of technology, Technometrics, Technological evolution, Technological change, Technological forecasting, Technology assessment, Technological progress, Innovation, Technology studies, Public decision making.JEL. O30, O31, O32, O33, O38.
 
Publisher Turkish Economic Review
Turkish Economic Review
 
Contributor
 
Date 2018-10-19
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/TER/article/view/1747
10.1453/ter.v5i3.1747
 
Source Turkish Economic Review; Vol 5, No 3 (2018): September; 263-284
Turkish Economic Review; Vol 5, No 3 (2018): September; 263-284
2149-0414
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/TER/article/view/1747/1751
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2018 Turkish Economic Review
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0