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MIDAS models in banking sector – systemic risk comparison

Managerial Economics

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Title MIDAS models in banking sector – systemic risk comparison
 
Creator Gurgul, Henryk
Mestel, Roland
Syrek, Robert
 
Subject

 
Description This paper shows the application of MIDAS based models in systemic risk assessment in banking sector. We consider two popular measures of systemic risk i.e. Marginal Expected Shortfall and Delta Conditional Value at Risk. The GARCH-MIDAS model is used in modelling conditional volatilities. The long-run component is modeled using realized volatility. The conditional correlation, second step of modelling, is described with DCC-MIDAS model. This is novel approach in respect to classical TARCH and DCC modelling. Whereas the information contained in macroeconomic variables, if available, can help to predict short and long-term components, this is the promising option in improvement of systemic risk assessment.
 
Publisher AGH University of Science and Technology Press.
 
Contributor
 
Date 2018-03-27
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier https://journals.agh.edu.pl/manage/article/view/2837
10.7494/manage.2017.18.2.165
 
Source Managerial Economics; Vol 18, No 2 (2017); 165
1898-1143
 
Language eng
 
Relation https://journals.agh.edu.pl/manage/article/view/2837/1989
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2018 Managerial Economics