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Fiscal deficit and inflation rate in selected African Regional Blocs: A comparative analysis

Turkish Economic Review

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Title Fiscal deficit and inflation rate in selected African Regional Blocs: A comparative analysis
 
Creator OLUBIYI, Ebenezer A.; Federal University of Agriculture, Abeokuta, Nigeria
BOLARINWA, Michael A.; Covenant University, Otta, Ogun State Nigeria
 
Subject Inflation; Fiscal deficit; Autoregressive distributed lag.
E24; F40; J30.
 
Description Abstract. This study investigates the effect of fiscal deficit on inflation rate in selected African countries. The data collected spans 22years from 1994 to 2015. The countries considered are Egypt, Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, and South Africa.  The selection of these countries was based on the countries with highest fiscal deficit or inflation rate in each of the geo-political zones in Africa. Based on the nature of the data, an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) in the context of Keynesian model of aggregate expenditure was specified and estimated.  The result shows that inflation effect of fiscal deficit is country specific and period specific.  Out of the five countries considered, it is only in Nigeria and South Africa that inflation is affected positively by fiscal deficit in the short run.  In the long run, Nigeria is the only country where inflation rate is affected positively by fiscal deficit.  In Egypt, there was no short run effect of fiscal deficit while in Kenya, there was negative effect.  Recommendations were proffered based on these results. Keywords. Inflation, Fiscal deficit, Autoregressive distributed lag.JEL. E24, F40, J30.
 
Publisher Turkish Economic Review
Turkish Economic Review
 
Contributor
 
Date 2018-04-14
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/TER/article/view/848
10.1453/ter.v5i1.848
 
Source Turkish Economic Review; Vol 5, No 1 (2018): March; 89-101
Turkish Economic Review; Vol 5, No 1 (2018): March; 89-101
2149-0414
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/TER/article/view/848/1600
http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/TER/article/downloadSuppFile/848/814
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2018 Turkish Economic Review
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0