Since 2014
Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pangan dan Kebijakan Moneter terhadap Stabilitas Ekonomi Makro
Jurnal Agro Ekonomi
View Archive Info| Field | Value | |
| Title |
Dampak Kebijakan Harga Pangan dan Kebijakan Moneter terhadap Stabilitas Ekonomi Makro
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| Creator |
Ilham, Nyak; Pusat Analisis Sosial Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pertanian Jalan A. Yani 70, Bogor 16161 Siregar, Hermanto; Fakultas Ekonomi dan Manajemen, IPB Jl. Raya Pajajaran Bogor |
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| Subject |
kebijakan harga pangan; kebijakan moneter; stabilitas; ekonomi makro; VECM; food price policy; monetary policy; stability; macroeconomic
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| Description |
EnglishThe relatively high share of food expenses in household expenditure indicates that contribution of food prices to the inflation rate is still quite high. Inflation and its fluctuations are important variables affecting macroeconomic stability. Therefore, stabilizing food prices, which could lead to a more stable inflation, might potentially result in a more stable macroeconomy. Food price policy might play important role in stabilizing food prices; but could also disturb the stability if implemented improperly. This paper aims at analyzing effects of food price as well as monetary policies on macroeconomic indicators. For this analysis, quarterly data of the period 1980.1 to 2004.4 were utilized. The study used a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), from which Impulse Response Function (IRF) analyzes were carried out. The results suggest that: (1) food price policy could not cause instability of macroeconomy, and (2) food price policy could not affect the unemployment rate, while monetary policy could do.IndonesianMasih besarnya pangsa pengeluaran pangan pada sebagian besar kelompok masyarakat berarti bobot inflasi kelompok pangan terhadap inflasi masih cukup besar. Inflasi dan fluktuasinya dapat mempengaruhi stabilitas ekonomi makro. Jadi stabilitas harga pangan dan harga-harga di tingkat makro secara potensial dapat dilakukan dengan menerapkan kebijakan harga pangan. Namun, kebijakan harga pangan yang tidak tepat dapat juga menyebabkan ketidakstabilan ekonomi makro. Tulisan ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dampak kebijakan harga pangan dan kebijakan moneter terhadap keseimbangan dan stabilitas indikator-indikator ekonomi makro. Data yang digunakan merupakan data sekunder deret waktu triwulanan untuk periode 1980.1 - 2004.4. Analisis data menggunakan model VECM (Vector Error Correction Model) dan teknik IRF (Impulse Response Function). Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa kebijakan harga pangan tidak menyebabkan instabilitas ekonomi makro, sedangkan kebijakan moneter menyebabkan peningkatan angka pengangguran.
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| Publisher |
Pusat Sosial Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Pertanian
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| Contributor |
—
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| Date |
2016-09-22
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| Type |
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion Peer-reviewed Article |
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| Format |
application/pdf
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| Identifier |
http://ejurnal.litbang.pertanian.go.id/index.php/jae/article/view/4708
10.21082/jae.v25n1.2007.55-83 |
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| Source |
Jurnal Agro Ekonomi; Vol 25, No 1 (2007): Jurnal Agro Ekonomi; 55-83
Jurnal Agro Ekonomi; Vol 25, No 1 (2007): Jurnal Agro Ekonomi; 55-83 2541-1527 0216-9053 |
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| Language |
ind
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| Relation |
http://ejurnal.litbang.pertanian.go.id/index.php/jae/article/view/4708/3977
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| Rights |
Copyright (c) 2016 Jurnal Agro Ekonomi
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0 |
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