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Forecasting EUR/PLN Exchange Rate: the Role of Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis in ESTVEC Models

Dynamic Econometric Models

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Title Forecasting EUR/PLN Exchange Rate: the Role of Purchasing Power Parity Hypothesis in ESTVEC Models
 
Creator Burda, Adrian Marek; Cracow University of Economics
Mazur, Błażej; Cracow University of Economics
Pipień, Mateusz Paweł; Cracow University of Economics
 
Subject PPP; ESTVECM; cointegration; exchange rate forecasting
C32; F31; F37
 
Description The purpose of this paper is to verify strong-form purchasing power parity (PPP) of EUR/PLN within a class of smooth transition vector error correction models (ESTVECM). Empirical importance of exponential smooth transition functions is confronted with the linear error-correction mechanism. A class of competing models for recursive samples are compared by the likelihood ratio test, information criteria, and out of sample forecast accuracy measures.
 
Publisher Nicolaus Copernicus University
 
Contributor National Science Center based on decision number UMO-2014/13/N/HS4/03593, funds granted to the Faculty of Management, Cracow University of Economics within the framework of the subsidy for the maintenance of research potential
 
Date 2017-12-29
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma/index.php/DEM/article/view/DEM.2017.006
10.12775/DEM.2017.006
 
Source Dynamic Econometric Models; Vol 17 (2017); 97-114
Dynamic Econometric Models; Vol 17 (2017); 97-114
2450-7067
1234-3862
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma/index.php/DEM/article/view/DEM.2017.006/13875
 
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