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CDS pricing using a Copula-Monte Carlo Approach

Journal of Research in Accounting and Management Sciences

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Title CDS pricing using a Copula-Monte Carlo Approach
CDS pricing using a Copula-Monte Carlo Approach
 
Creator García-Ruiz, Reyna Susana; Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México -UNAM-
López-Herrera, Francisco; Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México -UNAM-
Cruz-Aké, Salvador; Instituto Politécnico Nacional -IPN-
 
Subject CDS; Copula-Monte Carlo; default probabilities
G12; G17; G32
CDS; Copula-Monte Carlo; probabilidad de incumplimiento
G12; G17; G32
 
Description This paper proposes a methodology, based on Copula, Monte Carlo, and Bootstrap methodologies, to price a CDS without using more data than the one provided by the financial statements. This means that our methodology could be suitable not only for firms listed in the exchange market but also for nonlisted firms, so the results shown on the paper could extend the possibility of pricing CDS. The propounded methodology links the default probabilities to some key variables which dependence structure is captured by a copula and recombine it for pricing the CDS. To test the validity of the proposed methodology, we used data from TV Azteca (a media Mexican Company with recent financial concerns) and we obtained a CDS spread similar to the default rate implied in its credit risk rating.
This paper proposes a methodology, based on Copula, Monte Carlo, and Bootstrap methodologies, to price a CDS without using more data than the one provided by the financial statements. This means that our methodology could be suitable not only for firms listed in the exchange market but also for nonlisted firms, so the results shown on the paper could extend the possibility of pricing CDS. The propounded methodology links the default probabilities to some key variables which dependence structure is captured by a copula and recombine it for pricing the CDS. To test the validity of the proposed methodology, we used data from TV Azteca (a media Mexican Company with recent financial concerns) and we obtained a CDS spread similar to the default rate implied in its credit risk rating.
 
Publisher Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolás de Hidalgo - UMSNH
 
Contributor Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México -UNAM-
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México -UNAM-
 
Date 2018-01-10
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://ricca.umich.mx/index.php/ricca/article/view/50
 
Source Revista de investigación en ciencias contables y administrativas; Vol. 3, Núm. 1 (2017): julio-diciembre de 2017
Journal of Research in Accounting and Management Sciences; Vol. 3, Núm. 1 (2017): julio-diciembre de 2017
2448-606X
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://ricca.umich.mx/index.php/ricca/article/view/50/50
 
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