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Determinantes del Precio Spot Eléctrico en el Sistema Interconectado Central de Chile*

Economic Analysis Review

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Title Determinantes del Precio Spot Eléctrico en el Sistema Interconectado Central de Chile*
Determinantes del Precio Spot Eléctrico en el Sistema Interconectado Central de Chile
 
Creator Sikora, Iryna
Campos Abad, Juan Antonio
Bustos Salvagno, Javier
 
Subject
VAR, spot price, electricity, Chile
 
Description This paper aims to identify the key determinants of Chilean spot power price and assess their relative importance in recent price decline. To do so, we use a VAR model with weekly data between the years 2015-2016 and variance decomposition analysis to attribute variations of marginal cost to different shocks. The results show that while the availability of water for hydropower and lower fuel prices are important for explaining power spot prices, they only account for 50%-75% of the marginal cost´s variance, leaving 25%-50% to other factors, such as more renewable generation and lower generation from oil sources, among other factors
This paper aims to identify the key determinants of Chilean spot power price and assess their relative importance in recent price decline. To do so, we use a VAR model with weekly data between the years 2015-2016 and variance decomposition analysis to attribute variations of marginal cost to different shocks. The results show that while the availability of water for hydropower and lower fuel prices are important for explaining power spot prices, they only account for 50%-75% of the marginal cost´s variance, leaving 25%-50% to other factors, such as more renewable generation and lower generation from oil sources, among other factors.
 
Publisher Universidad Alberto Hurtado - Facultad de Economía y Negocios
 
Contributor

 
Date 2017-10-29
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/575
 
Source Revista de Análisis Económico - Economic Analysis Review; Vol 32, No 2 (2017); 3-38
Revista de Análisis Económico – Economic Analysis Review; Vol 32, No 2 (2017); 3-38
0718-8870
0716-5927
 
Language spa
 
Relation http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/575/598
 
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