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U.S. Quantitative Easing Policy Effect on TAIEX Futures Market Efficiency

Applied Economics and Finance

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Title U.S. Quantitative Easing Policy Effect on TAIEX Futures Market Efficiency
 
Creator Huang, Han Ching
Su, Yong Chern
Chen, Wei-Shen
 
Description This paper examines the market efficiency of the Taiwan Stock Exchange Capitalization Weighted Stock Index (TAIEX) Futures after the announcement of Quantitative Easing (QE) policy. Order imbalance is used to explore the relationship between return and order imbalance. We find that under the unconditional OLS model, lagged order imbalances almost have no significantly positive predictive power for current return. Nonetheless, on the trading day after the announcement of QE 1 policy, one-minute interval data show that the lagged order imbalance has predictive power for current return. Under the conditional OLS model, the reversed relation between current return and lagged order imbalance is not universal; on the other hand, after the announcement of QE 2 policy, the reversed relation between current return and lagged order imbalance is more common. Moreover, under volatility-GARCH (1, 1), one-minute interval data shows significantly positive relation between order imbalance and volatility.
 
Publisher Redfame Publishing
 
Contributor
 
Date 2017-06-15
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://redfame.com/journal/index.php/aef/article/view/2494
10.11114/aef.v4i4.2494
 
Source Applied Economics and Finance; Vol 4, No 4 (2017); 94-109
2332-7308
2332-7294
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://redfame.com/journal/index.php/aef/article/view/2494/2624
 
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