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Application of differential equations in projecting growth trajectories

Journal of Economics Bibliography

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Title Application of differential equations in projecting growth trajectories
 
Creator NIELSEN, Ron W.; Environmental Futures Research Institute, Gold Coast Campus, Griffith University, Qld,
 
Subject Forecasting; Differential equations; Analysis of growth rates; Growth trends.
C02; C20; C50; C53; C65; Y80.
 
Description Abstract. Mathematical method based on a direct or indirect analysis of growth rates is described. It is shown how simple assumptions and a relatively easy analysis can be used to describe mathematically complicated trends and to predict growth. Only rudimentary knowledge of calculus is required. Projected trajectories based on such simple initial assumptions are easier to accept and to understand than alternative complicated projections based on more complicated assumptions and on more intricate computational procedures. Examples of the growth of population and of the growth of the Gross Domestic Product are used to illustrate the application of this method of forecasting.Keywords. Forecasting, Differential equations, Analysis of growth rates, Growth trends.JEL. C02, C20, C50, C53, C65, Y80.
 
Publisher Journal of Economics Bibliography
 
Contributor
 
Date 2017-09-18
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEB/article/view/1363
10.1453/jeb.v4i3.1363
 
Source Journal of Economics Bibliography; Vol 4, No 3 (2017): September; 203-221
2149-2387
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.kspjournals.org/index.php/JEB/article/view/1363/1436
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2017 Journal of Economics Bibliography
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0