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Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe

Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences

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Title Determinants of Sub-Sovereign Government Ratings In Europe
 
Creator JANNONE-BELLOT, Nicolas; Secretary General of the Treasury and Financial Policy,
Ministry of Economy, Industry and Competitiveness,
Madrid, Spain
MARTÍ-SELVA, Luisa; Professor, Department of Social Science and Economics,
Faculty of Business Administration and Management,
Technical University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain
GARCÍA-MENÉNDEZ, Leandro; Professor, Department of Applied Economics II,
Faculty of Economy, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain
 
Subject rating, sub-sovereign entities, multinomial ordered probit, international fi nancial markets.
 
Description The aim of this paper is to identify the determinantsof the rating assigned to sub-sovereignentities in Germany, Austria, Belgium, France,Italy and Spain, using a total of 92 territorial entitiesfor the 1989-2012 period. Multinomial orderedprobit estimation models were estimatedfor each specifi cation and agency.We conclude that the country’s rating is oneof the most important determinants of regionalgovernment’s ratings with a positive infl uence(as expected), and that the country debt/GDPratio is a stronger determinant for regions thantheir own indebtedness with a negative sign.Other relevant variables are population growthrate, unemployment rate, elderly people weight,regional public expenditure weight and size. Additionally,economic variables, such as country’srating and population growth are more importantto Fitch; whereas budget variables and size variablesare more relevant to Moody’s. Debt variablesand elderly people ratio are more importantto S&P.
 
Publisher Babes Bolyai University
 
Contributor
 
Date 2017-02-21
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/514
10.24193/tras.2017.0007
 
Source Transylvanian Review of Administrative Sciences; 2017: Issue No. 50 E/February; 110-126
1842-2845
10.24193/tras.2017
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://rtsa.ro/tras/index.php/tras/article/view/514/503
 
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