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Identifying Priorities in Infrastructure Investment in Portugal

Journal of Economics and Public Finance

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Field Value
 
Title Identifying Priorities in Infrastructure Investment in Portugal
 
Creator Pereira, Alfredo Marvão
Pereira, Rui Marvão
 
Description In this paper we use a vector autoregressive approach to analyze the effects of infrastructure investment on economic performance using a newly developed data set for Portugal. Our overall goal is to identify priorities in infrastructure investments, i.e., areas of infrastructures investments with virtuous economic and budgetary effects. We find that investments in other transportation infrastructures—railroads, ports and airports—and social infrastructures—health and education infrastructures—have the largest effects with long-term multipliers of 15.00 and 8.45, respectively. Investments in road transportation—roads and freeways—and on utilities—electricity, gas, water, refineries, and telecommunications—induce much smaller effects with multipliers of 2.75 and 3.52, respectively. We also show that for other transportation and social infrastructure investments, the short-term effects are small relative to the accumulated effects and yet, in absolute terms, they exceed the long-term effects for road transportation and utilities. Finally, we show that investments in other infrastructures and in social infrastructures will pay for themselves in the form of long-term enhanced tax revenues under rather reasonable effective tax rates. Overall, we have clearly identified other transportation infrastructures and social infrastructures as the key target areas for policy intervention in this context.
 
Publisher SCHOLINK INC.
 
Contributor
 
Date 2017-07-26
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/jepf/article/view/1032
10.22158/jepf.v3n3p367
 
Source Journal of Economics and Public Finance; Vol 3, No 3 (2017); p367
2377-1046
2377-1038
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.scholink.org/ojs/index.php/jepf/article/view/1032/1175
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2017 Alfredo Marvão Pereira, Rui Marvão Pereira
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0