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Crisis risk measurements – trade with credit default swaps against measurements of the capital trade dynamics

International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences

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Title Crisis risk measurements – trade with credit default swaps against measurements of the capital trade dynamics
 
Creator Paskaleva, Mariya Georgieva
 
Description This study represents the increasing significance of credit default swaps for European capital markets, namely Germany, France, Belgium, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Bulgaria and Romania. The period of analysis is between 2003- 2016 years. After developing a theoretical and empirical framework to model the relationship between credit default swap market and capital market, we apply an empirical research which uses logistic regression. Our dataset assesses the ability of CDS to predict financial crisis at stock markets.  Regarding sovereign credit default swaps as reflection of credit risk, we find them to be a significant indicator explaining the periods proceeding financial crises, especially to developed capital markets.
 
Publisher International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences
 
Date 2017-06-30
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.ijceas.com/index.php/ijceas/article/view/154
 
Source International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences; Vol 7 No 1-2 (2017); 81-113
1925-4423
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.ijceas.com/index.php/ijceas/article/view/154/pdf
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2017 International Journal of Contemporary Economics and Administrative Sciences