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Causality between Indian Futures and Cash Markets - Analysis with Granger Causality Block Exogenity Model

Asian Business Review

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Title Causality between Indian Futures and Cash Markets - Analysis with Granger Causality Block Exogenity Model
 
Creator Jose, Babu; Assistant Professor, Department of Commerce, St. Thomas College, Pala, Arunapuram Post, Kottayam Dist, Kerala -686574, INDIA
Lazar, Daniel; Associate Professor, Department of Commerce, Pondicherry University, Pondicherry, INDIA
 
Subject Cash Market, Futures Market, Causality, Granger Block Exogeny Model
 
Description In India, spot market return, number of contracts, turnover and volatility of the futures market are having short run relationship with futures market return. On the basis of the empirical analysis it is clearly found that spot market is the key factor that predicts the movement of futures market and the trader can depend upon volatility and trading volume to take any decision on futures market trading. In precise, spot market return, volatility of the futures market, turnover and number of contract are the determinants of the futures market in India. Spot market return is the major determinants of the futures market, indeed variables from futures market itself like open interest and turnover of futures market can be taken into consideration for determining the futures market return. The empirical study is made with spot return, futures return, volatility of futures return, number of contract, trading volume and open interest of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index Nifty -50 for the period 12th June 2000- 30th June 2011by applying the VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogeny Test. JEL Classification Code:  G13
 
Publisher Asian Business Consortium
 
Contributor
 
Date 2015-08-16
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://journals.abc.us.org/index.php/abr/article/view/590
10.18034/abr.v5i3.590
 
Source Asian Business Review; Vol 5, No 3 (2015): 12th Issue; 103-110
2305-8730
2304-2613
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://journals.abc.us.org/index.php/abr/article/view/590/423
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2015 Babu Jose, Daniel Lazar
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0