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Forecasting Financial Processes by Using Diffusion Models

Dynamic Econometric Models

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Title Forecasting Financial Processes by Using Diffusion Models
 
Creator PÅ‚uciennik, Piotr; Adam Mickiewicz University, National Bank of Poland
 
Subject diffusion models, ex-post forecasts, Monte-Carlo simulation, the GARCH model, the ARIMA model, unit-root
 
Description Time series forecasting is one of the most important issues in the financial econometrics. In the face of growing interest in models with continuous time, as well as rapid development of methods of their estimation, we try to use the diffusion models to modeling and forecasting time series from various financial markets. We use Monte-Carlo-based method, introduced by Cziraky and Kucherenko (2008). Received forecasts are confronted with those determined with the commonly applied parametrical time series models.
 
Publisher Nicolaus Copernicus University
 
Contributor
 
Date 2010-07-17
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://apcz.pl/czasopisma/index.php/DEM/article/view/DEM.2010.005
10.12775/DEM.2010.005
 
Source Dynamic Econometric Models; Vol 10 (2010); 51-60
Dynamic Econometric Models; Vol 10 (2010); 51-60
2450-7067
1234-3862
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://apcz.pl/czasopisma/index.php/DEM/article/view/DEM.2010.005/4028