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Asymmetries in the Relationship between Economic Activity and Oil Prices in the Selected EU Countries

Dynamic Econometric Models

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Title Asymmetries in the Relationship between Economic Activity and Oil Prices in the Selected EU Countries
 
Creator Geise, Andrzej; Nicolaus Copernicus University
PiƂatowska, Mariola; Nicolaus Copernicus University
 
Subject short-run asymmetry; threshold cointegration; threshold error correction model; Granger causality; oil price shock.

 
Description In this paper the threshold (T-ECM) and linear (ECM) error correction models are estimated to examine the short-run and long-run Granger causality in terms of asymmetric and symmetric relationship for seven European Union economies (Germany, France, Denmark, the Netherlands, Poland, Czech Republic and the whole EU). The relationship between production, inflation and oil prices are analyzed in the presence of structural break when both, the change in intercept and the change in the slope of the trend function exist. Threshold ECMs show the asymmetric response of production and inflation to the changes in oil prices in the case of Germany, France, Poland and the EU. For other economies (Netherlands, Denmark and Czech Republic) the reaction was rather symmetric.
 
Publisher Nicolaus Copernicus University
 
Contributor
 
Date 2016-12-29
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma/index.php/DEM/article/view/DEM.2016.004
10.12775/DEM.2016.004
 
Source Dynamic Econometric Models; Vol 16 (2016); 65-86
Dynamic Econometric Models; Vol 16 (2016); 65-86
2450-7067
1234-3862
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://apcz.umk.pl/czasopisma/index.php/DEM/article/view/DEM.2016.004/10668
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2016 Dynamic Econometric Models