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Measuring the Monetary Policy’s Structural Credibility by the Expected Inflation Determinants: a Kalman Filter Approach for Brazil

Brazilian Review of Econometrics

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Title Measuring the Monetary Policy’s Structural Credibility by the Expected Inflation Determinants: a Kalman Filter Approach for Brazil
 
Creator Moreira, Ricardo Ramalhete; Professor of Economics at the Federal University of Espírito Santo, Brazil.
 
Subject Keywords: monetary policy’s credibility; expected inflation; Kalman filter; Brazil.
E310;E37;E58.
 
Description This article proposes an extension of Moreira (2013a,b) as a method for measuring monetary policy’s structural credibility under inflation targeting regimes by the main determinants of the expected inflation, and using a Kalman approach with calibration. Such a method does not present some restrictions found in the existing credibility indexes, such as in Cecchetti and Krause (2002). The proposed approach was applied on the Brazilian case as an illustration and obtained robust results demonstrating that there exists a mutual dynamic relationship between expected inflation, observed inflation and the credibility behavior over time. 
 
Publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
 
Contributor
 
Date 2016-02-11
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/57454
10.12660/bre.v99n992016.57454
 
Source Brazilian Review of Econometrics; Vol 36, No 2 (2016)
Brazilian Review of Econometrics; Vol 36, No 2 (2016)
1980-2447
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/57454/57765
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2016 Brazilian Review of Econometrics