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Financial markets in CEE countries and their role in transmission of euro area monetary policy shocks

European Journal of Business and Economics

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Title Financial markets in CEE countries and their role in transmission of euro area monetary policy shocks
 
Creator Wierzbowska, Agata; Graduate School of Economics, Kobe University
 
Subject Monetary transmission mechanism; International transmission; Financial markets; VAR; Counter-factual simulation
E44, E52, F36
 
Description This paper uses the VAR methodology to analyse stock, bond, and exchange rate markets in six Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. First, we study the influence of shocks occurring in each market on domestic economic conditions. Next, a counterfactual simulation analysis is carried out to discern the role of financial markets in the transmission of European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy shocks into CEE economies. The results have implications for both present monetary policy-making and future euro adoptions, as well as for investors concerned with financial assets of CEE countries. While examining the estimated responses of domestic output and inflation to changes in stock, bond, and exchange rate prices, we draw conclusions on the relatively lower importance of the bond market and higher importance of stock and exchange rate markets in the economies. The study of transmission channels also points to stock markets as the main channel of transmission, especially in the case of transmission to the output. Transmission of monetary shocks to inflation takes place mainly through stock and exchange rate markets. There is also strong indication on considerable diversity across CEE countries taking place.
 
Publisher CBU, o.p.s.
 
Contributor The author is grateful to Seiichi Fujita, Krzysztof Krawczyk, Masahiko Shibamoto, and Yoichi Matsubayashi, as well as the participants of the Autumn Conference of Japan Society of Monetary Economics, October 2014, for helpful comments and suggestions.
 
Date 2015-12-19
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://ojs.journals.cz/index.php/EJBE/article/view/732
10.12955/ejbe.v10i2.732
 
Source European Journal of Business and Economics; Vol 10, No 2 (2015)
1804-9699
10.12955/ejbe.v10i2
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://ojs.journals.cz/index.php/EJBE/article/view/732/675
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2016 Agata Wierzbowska
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/