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Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models

Brazilian Review of Econometrics

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Title Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models
Testing the Hypothesis of Contagion Using Multivariate Volatility Models
 
Creator Marçal, Emerson Fernandes
Pereira, Pedro L. Valls
 
Description The aim of this paper is to test whether or not there was evidence of contagion across the various financial crises that assailed some countries in the 1990s. Data on sovereign debt bonds for Brazil, Mexico, Russia and Argentina were used to implement the test. The contagion hypothesis is tested using multivariate volatility models. If there is any evidence of structural break in volatility that can be linked to financial crises, the contagion hypothesis will be confirmed. Results suggest that there is evidence in favor of the contagion hypothesis.
The aim of this paper is to test whether or not there was evidence of contagion across the various financial crises that assailed some countries in the 1990s. Data on sovereign debt bonds for Brazil, Mexico, Russia and Argentina were used to implement the test. The contagion hypothesis is tested using multivariate volatility models. If there is any evidence of structural break in volatility that can be linked to financial crises, the contagion hypothesis will be confirmed. Results suggest that there is evidence in favor of the contagion hypothesis.
 
Publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
 
Date 2008-11-01
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
 
Format application/pdf
application/pdf
 
Identifier http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1511
10.12660/bre.v28n22008.1511
 
Source Brazilian Review of Econometrics; Vol. 28 No. 2 (2008); 191-216
Brazilian Review of Econometrics; v. 28 n. 2 (2008); 191-216
1980-2447
 
Language eng
por
 
Relation http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1511/936
http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1511/937