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Assessing Drawdown-at-Risk in Brazilian Real Foreign Exchange Rates

Brazilian Review of Finance

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Title Assessing Drawdown-at-Risk in Brazilian Real Foreign Exchange Rates
Avaliando Drawdown-at-Risk nas Taxas de Câmbio do Real
 
Creator Brandi, Vinicius Ratton; Banco Centra do Brasil
Mendes, Beatriz Vaz de Melo; Instituto de Matemática, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro
 
Subject Business; Statistics
foreign exchange risk; drawdowns; drawdown-at-risk
C52; G10; G15
Administração Financeira; Estatística
risco cambial; drawdowns; drawdown-at-risk
C52; G10; G15
 
Description The investigation of the stochastic behavior of financial series has become widespread over the literature. There is empirical and theoretical evidence that the total stock price change over a long period is usually concentrated in the a few hectic runs of trading days. The drawdown is a random variable which provides information on alternative characteristics of market behavior during these periods. In this work, we use distributions from extreme value theory to model the severity of drawdowns and drawups. We illustrate using nine currency exchange rates and gold.
A investigação do comportamento estocástico das séries financeiras tornou-se bastante difundida na literatura acadêmica. Há evidências empíricas e teóricas de que as variações nos preços dos ativos observadas em um longo período, normalmente, encontram-se concentradas em poucos e turbulentos dias. O drawdown é uma variável aleatória que fornece informação adicional a respeito das características de mercado durante estes dias. Neste trabalho, usamos distribuições de valores extremos para modelar a severidade dos drawdowns e dos drawups obtidos a partir das séries históricas de nove taxas de câmbio e do ouro.
 
Publisher Link to the Brazilian Society of Finance
 
Contributor

 
Date 2004-12-01
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Double blind reviewed articles
Empirical
Avaliado por Pares
empírico
 
Format application/pdf
application/pdf
 
Identifier http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/rbfin/article/view/1142
 
Source Brazilian Review of Finance; Vol 2, No 2 (2004); pp. 207-223
Revista Brasileira de Finanças; Vol 2, No 2 (2004); pp. 207-223
1984-5146
1679-0731
 
Language eng
por
 
Relation http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/rbfin/article/view/1142/305
http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/rbfin/article/view/1142/342