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FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA

Economic Journal of Emerging Markets

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Title FUEL PRICE INCREASE AND MANUFACTURING FIRMS SURVIVAL IN INDONESIA
 
Creator Atmadji, Eko
 
Subject


 
Description The administered price of fuel has increased quite frequently since 1970. It has raised a concern on the survival ability of manufacturing firms that could be weakened by such policy. This research objective is for confirming whether the policy of increasing fuel price affects the survival of manufacturing firms in Indonesia. By using Instrumental Variable Probit Model, it demonstrates that increasing fuel price does not affect firms’ survival in the short-run, middle-run, as well as long-run. Nevertheless, the z-statistics increase when the period of estimation is expanded. It means that if the time span of sample observation is widened, the result might be different.Keywords: Fuel price, survival ability, instrumental variable probit modelJEL classification numbers: H27, D22AbstrakHarga bahan bakar minyak (BBM) selalu meningkat sejak 1970. Kenaikan harga ini telah menimbulkan kekhawatiran pada kemampuan kelangsungan hidup perusahaan manufaktur di Indonesia yang bisa dilemahkan oleh kebijakan tersebut. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan tujuan mengonfirmasi apakah kebijakan kenaikan harga BBM mempengaruhi kelangsungan hidup perusahaan industri manufaktur di Indonesia. Dengan menggunakan Instrumental Variable Probit Model, hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa peningkatan harga BBM tidak mempengaruhi kelangsungan hidupperusahaan dalam jangka pendek, menengah, serta jangka panjang. Namun demikian, z-statistik meningkat ketika periode estimasi diperluas. Ini berarti bahwa jika rentang waktu pengamatan sampel melebar, hasilnya mungkin akan berbeda.Kata kunci: Harga BBM, kemampuan bertahan hidup, instrumental variable probit modelJEL classification numbers: H27, D22
 
Publisher Universitas Islam Indonesia
 
Contributor
 
Date 2014-03-06
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://journal.uii.ac.id/index.php/JEP/article/view/3171
 
Source Economic Journal of Emerging Markets; Volume 4 Issue 1, 2012; 2-14
2502-180X
2086-3128
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://journal.uii.ac.id/index.php/JEP/article/view/3171/2885
 
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