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Quantifying the Importance of Nationality in Determining International Protection Outcomes in Ireland

The Economic and Social Review

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Title Quantifying the Importance of Nationality in Determining International Protection Outcomes in Ireland
 
Creator Keogh, Gerard
 
Subject nationality; protection; asylum; Ireland
 
Description We examine 40,434 International Protection (IP) determinations for non-EEA nationals covering a 16-year period in Ireland. We quantify the weight of importance of nationality versus process factors (e.g. length of time awaiting a decision) and applicant (e.g. gender) related characteristics in determining the IP outcome and show that nationality accounts for over twothirds of the explained variation in outcomes. We also show that a grant of protection of depends on just seven statistically significant applicant characteristics or process factors suggesting the determining officer’s assessment of the credibility of an asylum claim is nuanced. Taken with the fact that the UNHCR provides oversight of the IP determination procedure we take the view that the procedure is reasonably fair. Nonetheless, our analysis also shows that a stiffer determination regime has been in place in Ireland from 2007 to 2013. Our findings have important policy implications for IP in Ireland and elsewhere.
 
Publisher The Economic and Social Review
 
Contributor
 
Date 2016-06-22
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Peer-reviewed Article
 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.esr.ie/article/view/570
 
Source The Economic and Social Review; Vol 47, No 2, Summer (2016); 247-270
0012-9984
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.esr.ie/article/view/570/139
 
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