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Endogenous growth in México: The role of US economic activity and balance of payments transfers

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Title Endogenous growth in México: The role of US economic activity and balance of payments transfers
Endogenous growth in México: The role of US economic activity and balance of payments transfers
 
Creator Rodríguez Arana, Alejandro
 
Subject
Growth; remittances; savings
O41, O47, O57

Growth, remittances, savings.
O41, O47, O57
 
Description This paper calibrates an AK model of growth for México. Investment financing is modeled considering the domestic savings ratio as well as net factorial income and capital inflows of the balance of payments. According to this model, actual parameters determining growth in México are compatible with a long run rate of growth of about 3.6%. Under these circumstances, the ratio of the Mexican GDP to US GDP grows in time. Sustained growth depends heavily upon balance of payments transfers, which nowadays are conformed mainly by family remittances and the US economic growth, variables that nobody in México can control. This fact implies that the domestic savings rate is very low. The paper concludes that to assure a positive growth that improves standards of living and the relative size of México with respect to the US, policies to increase the domestic savings rate and productivity are necessary. 
This paper calibrates an AK model of growth for México. Investment financing is modeled considering the domestic savings ratio as well as net factorial income and capital inflows of the balance of payments. According to this model, actual parameters determining growth in México are compatible with a long run rate of growth of about 3.6%. Under these circumstances, the ratio of the Mexican GDP to US GDP grows in time. Sustained growth depends heavily upon balance of payments transfers, which nowadays are conformed mainly by family remittances and the US economic growth, variables that nobody in México can control. This fact implies that the domestic savings rate is very low. The paper concludes that to assure a positive growth that improves standards of living and the relative size of México with respect to the US, policies to increase the domestic savings rate and productivity are necessary. 
 
Publisher Universidad de Guadalajara
 
Contributor

 
Date 2015-07-13
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion



 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.revistascientificas.udg.mx/index.php/EQ/article/view/2590
10.18381/eq.v3i2.2590
 
Source EconoQuantum; Vol. 3 Núm. 2 Primer Semestre 2007 First Semester; 7-32
2007-9869
1870-6622
 
Language spa
 
Relation http://www.revistascientificas.udg.mx/index.php/EQ/article/view/2590/2359
 
Rights Copyright (c) 2015 EconoQuantum
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0