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Convergence and Long-Run Uncertainty

Economic Analysis Review

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Title Convergence and Long-Run Uncertainty
 
Creator Pincheira, Pablo M.
 
Subject Convergence hypothesis, economic growth, Bayesian model averaging, cointegration, Chile.
 
Description In this paper the neoclassical convergence hypothesis is tested for the thirteen regions of Chile using cross-section techniques and the time-series based tests proposed by Bernard, A. and S. Durlauf, 1995, “Convergence in International Output”, Journal of Applied Econometrics 10 (2), pp. 97-108. Cross-section analysis in combination with a Bayesian Modeling Averaging strategy supports the convergence hypothesis, despite of some instability detected in the estimated speed of convergence. When applying time-series based tests, the no convergence null hypothesis cannot be rejected at the usual significance levels. When clustering the Chilean regions into three different groups, however, evidence of cointegration within these groups is found, indicating that the regional growth process in Chile is driven by a lower number of common trends.
 
Publisher Universidad Alberto Hurtado - Facultad de Economía y Negocios
 
Contributor
 
Date 2014-04-26
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/399
 
Source Revista de Análisis Económico - Economic Analysis Review; Vol 29, No 1 (2014); 17-52
Revista de Análisis Económico – Economic Analysis Review; Vol 29, No 1 (2014); 17-52
0718-8870
0716-5927
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/399/548