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Testing the Validity of Wagner’s Law in Bolivia: A Cointegration and Causality Analysis with Disaggregated Data

Economic Analysis Review

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Title Testing the Validity of Wagner’s Law in Bolivia: A Cointegration and Causality Analysis with Disaggregated Data
 
Creator Bojanic, Antonio N.
 
Subject Wagner law, unit roots, cointegration, Error Correction models
 
Description Nine versions of Wagner’s law are examined employing annual time-series data on Bolivia for the period 1940-2010. The analysis is an advance over previous work in several ways. First, the stationarity properties and the order of integration of the data are investigated using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller and the Phillips and Perron tests. Second, the hypothesis of a long-run relationship between different types of government expenditures and income is tested employing the methodology of cointegration analysis. Third, Error Correction Models are utilized to determine the direction of causality between the variables of interest. Lastly, the study comprises a period of seventy years, the longest of its kind for Bolivia. Consistent with Wagner’s proposition, bidirectional causality is found between income and government expenditures in six of the nine versions of the law.
 
Publisher Universidad Alberto Hurtado - Facultad de Economía y Negocios
 
Contributor
 
Date 2013-04-23
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/370
 
Source Revista de Análisis Económico - Economic Analysis Review; Vol 28, No 1 (2013); 25-46
Revista de Análisis Económico – Economic Analysis Review; Vol 28, No 1 (2013); 25-46
0718-8870
0716-5927
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/370/536