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The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and the Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policies: The Brazilian Case

Brazilian Review of Econometrics

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Title The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and the Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policies: The Brazilian Case
The Fiscal Theory of the Price Level and the Interaction of Monetary and Fiscal Policies: The Brazilian Case
 
Creator Moreira, Tito Belchior S.
e Souza, Geraldo da Silva
Almeida, Charles Lima de
 
Description This paper aims to derive an optimal monetary policy rule in a context of fiscal disequilibrium and to empirically test whether Brazil presents active or passive fiscal and monetary policies. We analyze the transmission channels of the fiscal and monetary policies through estimation of a Philips curve and the fiscal IS curve. The results indicate that the fiscal deficit is statistically significant and affects the inflation rate indirectly via output gap. The empirical findings using the Leeper model indicate that the monetary policy is passive whereas the fiscal policy is active. In this context, we found empirical evidence that the Brazilian economy shows a fiscal dominance regime for the period 1995: I to 2006: II.
This paper aims to derive an optimal monetary policy rule in a context of fiscal disequilibrium and to empirically test whether Brazil presents active or passive fiscal and monetary policies. We analyze the transmission channels of the fiscal and monetary policies through estimation of a Philips curve and the fiscal IS curve. The results indicate that the fiscal deficit is statistically significant and affects the inflation rate indirectly via output gap. The empirical findings using the Leeper model indicate that the monetary policy is passive whereas the fiscal policy is active. In this context, we found empirical evidence that the Brazilian economy shows a fiscal dominance regime for the period 1995: I to 2006: II.
 
Publisher Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria
 
Date 2007-05-01
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
 
Format application/pdf
application/pdf
 
Identifier http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1573
10.12660/bre.v27n12007.1573
 
Source Brazilian Review of Econometrics; Vol. 27 No. 1 (2007); 85-106
Brazilian Review of Econometrics; v. 27 n. 1 (2007); 85-106
1980-2447
 
Language eng
por
 
Relation http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1573/1016
http://bibliotecadigital.fgv.br/ojs/index.php/bre/article/view/1573/1017