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Terms of Trade and the Current Account under Uncertainty

Economic Analysis Review

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Title Terms of Trade and the Current Account under Uncertainty
Terms of Trade and the Current Account under Uncertainty
 
Creator Schmidt-Hebbel, Klaus
 
Subject
 
Description Terms of Trade and the Current Account under Uncertainty
This paper analyses the effect of stochastic terms of trade shocks on the current account of a small and open economy. Under uncertainty the distinctions between expected and unexpected, transitory and permanent shocks of the previous perfect foresight literature break down. It is shown that under terms oftrade presenting stochastic structural changes, the rational consumer makes use of an error learning model to form his expectations on the relative prices.In this framework the consumer's optimal plan is derived for a two-good certainty equivalence utility function Finally a simulation for the foreign debt profile in the aftermath of a terms of trade deterioration isperformed.
 
Publisher Universidad Alberto Hurtado - Facultad de Economía y Negocios
 
Contributor

 
Date 2010-03-15
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/296
 
Source Revista de Análisis Económico - Economic Analysis Review; Vol 2, No 1 (1987); 67-89
Revista de Análisis Económico – Economic Analysis Review; Vol 2, No 1 (1987); 67-89
0718-8870
0716-5927
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/296/378