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Reputación Antiinflacionaria y Compromiso Cambiario: La Peseta en el SME

Economic Analysis Review

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Title Reputación Antiinflacionaria y Compromiso Cambiario: La Peseta en el SME
Reputación Antiinflacionaria y Compromiso Cambiario: La Peseta en el SME
 
Creator Esteve, Vicente
Sapena, Juan
Tamarit, Cecilio R.
 
Description In this paper, we analyze the evolution of the counterinflation reputation implied by joining the exchange rate mechanism of the European Monetary System. We apply a Backus and Driffill (1985a, b) type model where maintaining the existing parity would improve the probability perceived by agents that an existing tough government is in charge. We consider, according to Mason (1995), a concept of credibility that includes the costs of sticking to its policies that any government (tough or wet) must take into account, specially when shocks and government policies have persistent effects on unemployment, and consequently constrain the room for maneuver in subsequent periods. The model is tested for the Spanish case over the period 1989-92, using the Kalman filter.
In this paper, we analyze the evolution of the counterinflation reputation implied by joining the exchange rate mechanism of the European Monetary System. We apply a Backus and Driffill (1985a, b) type model where maintaining the existing parity would improve the probability perceived by agents that an existing tough government is in charge. We consider, according to Mason (1995), a concept of credibility that includes the costs of sticking to its policies that any government (tough or wet) must take into account, specially when shocks and government policies have persistent effects on unemployment, and consequently constrain the room for maneuver in subsequent periods. The model is tested for the Spanish case over the period 1989-92, using the Kalman filter.
 
Publisher Universidad Alberto Hurtado - Facultad de Economía y Negocios
 
Contributor

 
Date 2010-03-07
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/132
 
Source Revista de Análisis Económico - Economic Analysis Review; Vol 13, No 2 (1998); 81-105
Revista de Análisis Económico – Economic Analysis Review; Vol 13, No 2 (1998); 81-105
0718-8870
0716-5927
 
Language spa
 
Relation http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/132/252