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Forecasting abrupt changes in the Chinese stock market via wavelet decomposition

Advances in Applied Economics and Finance

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Field Value
 
Title Forecasting abrupt changes in the Chinese stock market via wavelet decomposition
 
Creator Chen, Yulong; University of Shanghai for Science and Technology
Li, Xing-ye
 
Subject Abrupt changes in stock market; Wavelet analysis; Leading indicator
 
Description As an abrupt change becomes imminent, the stock markets are usually preceded by an oscillatory behavior with amplitudes that tend to become smaller and smaller, while the frequencies tend to increase, which can be detected by the wavelet analysis because it provides simultaneous information on the frequency (scale) and localization in time. According to analysis of Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index before the crash of 2007 by the leading indicator constructed through wavelet decomposition coefficients, we find that the leading indicator presents good capacity of monitoring drawdowns and crashes in the Chinese stock market, which also provides a valuable forecasting method for the stock market.
 
Publisher World Science Publisher
 
Contributor The Innovation Fund Project For Graduate Student of Shanghai
 
Date 2012-03-06
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion

 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://worldsciencepublisher.org/journals/index.php/AAEF/article/view/121
 
Source Advances in Applied Economics and Finance; Vol 1, No 1 (2012); 61-65
2167-6348
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://worldsciencepublisher.org/journals/index.php/AAEF/article/view/121/143
http://worldsciencepublisher.org/journals/index.php/AAEF/article/downloadSuppFile/121/13
http://worldsciencepublisher.org/journals/index.php/AAEF/article/downloadSuppFile/121/14
 
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