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Inflation Uncertainty in Chile: Asymmetries and the News Impact Curve

Economic Analysis Review

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Title Inflation Uncertainty in Chile: Asymmetries and the News Impact Curve
Inflation Uncertainty in Chile: Asymmetries and the News Impact Curve
 
Creator Johnson, Christian A.
 
Description This article presents a historical analysis of inflation in Chile from 1933 to 2001, estimating generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity models, including asymmetric extensions such as the Threshold, Quadratic and Box-Cox models. Traditional symmetric models accept the Friedman hypothesis establishing that inflation increases uncertainty. However, a more general class of asymmetric models rejects this hypothesis. This result is not valid for the asymmetric Box-Cox non linear model. Furthermore, we found that high levels of uncertainty in inflation increase the level of inflation with some lags, not rejecting the positive correlation established by Cukierman and Metzler. The News Impact Curve reflects those asymmetries.
This article presents a historical analysis of inflation in Chile from 1933 to 2001, estimating generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity models, including asymmetric extensions such as the Threshold, Quadratic and Box-Cox models. Traditional symmetric models accept the Friedman hypothesis establishing that inflation increases uncertainty. However, a more general class of asymmetric models rejects this hypothesis. This result is not valid for the asymmetric Box-Cox non linear model. Furthermore, we found that high levels of uncertainty in inflation increase the level of inflation with some lags, not rejecting the positive correlation established by Cukierman and Metzler. The News Impact Curve reflects those asymmetries
 
Publisher Universidad Alberto Hurtado - Facultad de Economía y Negocios
 
Contributor

 
Date 2010-03-01
 
Type info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion


 
Format application/pdf
 
Identifier http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/12
 
Source Revista de Análisis Económico - Economic Analysis Review; Vol 17, No 1 (2002); 3-20
Revista de Análisis Económico – Economic Analysis Review; Vol 17, No 1 (2002); 3-20
0718-8870
0716-5927
 
Language eng
 
Relation http://www.rae-ear.org/index.php/rae/article/view/12/24